Spring 2026 Outlook
As we head toward the spring, many clients are asking the same question: What’s actually happening right now? Here’s a look at what we’re seeing across Fremont, Newark, Union City and the surrounding East Bay.
The Big Picture
The market isn’t overheating and it isn’t stalled. It’s stabilizing. California home prices are projected to rise modestly in 2026 with sales activity expected to pick up slightly as inventory improves and lending conditions ease.
Mortgage rates sitting just above 6% are bringing buyers back into the conversation, especially those who sat out the past few years.
Overall, this points to a steady market rebuilding momentum rather than a sudden spike.
What We’re Seeing Locally
Parts of the Bay Area saw price adjustments last year tied to higher interest rates and tech sector uncertainty, but limited supply continues to support competition for desirable homes.
Here’s what we’re seeing day to day:
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Move-in ready homes priced correctly are attracting the most attention
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Buyers are more analytical & selective and they’ll wait for the right one
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Sellers who prepare their homes well are still seeing strong outcomes and returns on their investment
Local Inventory Snapshot
Below is a snapshot of detached single family home sales across Fremont, Newark and Union City, offering context as we head towards the start of spring.
I also included an even more zoomed in snapshot of the greater Glenmoor neighborhood of Fremont. There were 71 single family homes sold in 2025 and we were the listing agents on 15 of them.
| Glenmoor | Fremont | Newark | Union City | |
| YTD 2026 | 2 | 36 | 10 | 16 |
| Q1 2025 | 15 | 151 | 50 | 54 |
| Q2 2025 | 12 | 254 | 60 | 71 |
What This Means Going Forward
Opportunities are improving compared to recent years, but planning and realistic expectations still matter. Rates remain elevated compared to the past decade even as conditions improve.
Preparation and pricing continue to drive results. Homes that show well and are positioned correctly are moving, while others may take longer.
The East Bay market today is best described as balanced and selective. Momentum is building and sidelined buyers are re-entering the market, but outcomes are being driven by preparation, positioning and timing rather than overall hype.
